Make SpecConstr bale out less often

When doing performance debugging on #22084 / !8901, I found that the
algorithm in SpecConstr.decreaseSpecCount was so aggressive that if
there were /more/ specialisations available for an outer function,
that could more or less kill off specialisation for an /inner/
function.  (An example was in nofib/spectral/fibheaps.)

This patch makes it a bit more aggressive, by dividing by 2, rather
than by the number of outer specialisations.

This makes the program bigger, temporarily:

   T19695(normal) ghc/alloc   +11.3% BAD

because we get more specialisation.  But lots of other programs
compile a bit faster and the geometric mean in perf/compiler
is 0.0%.

Metric Increase:
    T19695